BlueOrange25
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Initially I took that at face value. But later I started to run the numbers myself, and could not come up with that number - even though I calculated and recalculated several times.
Here are the number I come up with -
11,100 problem guns (0.0037% out of 300 Million Guns)
15,700 problem gun owners (0.0157% out of 100 Million Owners)
That's still a lot, and I will happily support any legislation that deals with them, but so far, none of it does.
Apologies. I withdraw 370,000 in reference to your post(s).
From your first post:
Your arithmetic is right except for the "EVER" statements. "So far" would be more suitable.- **99.9963% of Gun NEVER murder anyone EVER**
300,000,000 Guns - the most conservative estimate.
11,000 Gun Homicides (FBI 2017, latest data).
(11,000 / 300,000,000) x 100 = 0.0036666666... = 0.0037%
If we use larger numbers for the number of guns, the percentage comes out smaller -
11,000 / 400,000,000 x 100 = 0.00275%
- **99.9843% of Gun Owners NEVER murder anyone EVER**
70,000,000 estimated Gun Owners. (estimates between 70 Million and 120 million)
11,000 Gun Homicides (FBI 2017).
11,000/70,000,000 x 100 = 0.0157%
Your figures are small because you're comparing data taken over a wildly differing periods of time. Gun-related homicides from one year set against an accumulated number over multiple years.
If you wanted to estimate how many guns/gun owners are involved homicide, then compare the accumulated number of guns to the accumulated number of gun-related homicides.
The FBI have the data (1995-2017 completed, prelim for 2018). I looked back 15 years as I need to get food.
2003 9,659
2004 9,385
2005 10,158
2006 10,225
2007 10,086
2008 9,528
2009 9,199
2010 8,874
2011 8,653
2012 8,855
2013 8,454
2014 8,312
2015 9,778
2016 11,138
2017 10,982
TOTAL 143,286
Quite a lot of "problem gun owners".